Akron (@8.0) vs Illinois (@1.08)

Our Prediction:

Illinois will win

Akron – Illinois Match Prediction | 27-08-2019 12:00

Akron committed 76 penalties for 760 yards on the defensive side of the ball last season. The Akron pass defense also gave up a total of 2,293 yards through the air, which was 12th overall in total pass defense. Opposing offenses completed 222 passes on 367 attempts against the Akron Zips defense last season, placing them 42nd and 39th in Division 1. The Zips were ranked 34th in yards per play allowed with 5.2. That ranked them 96th in college football. They surrendered a total of 4,704 yards on D, which was 48th in the country. They were 52nd in the nation in points allowed on defense with 326. The Zips rush defense allowed 530 attempts for 2,411 yards last year, putting them in 93rd place in D-1 against the run.

Opponents shoot 44 percent against them and 37 percent from three. Defensively, they allow 73 points per game. German leads the Huskies with 20.7 points and 3 assists per game. German and Thorpe both shoot 44 percent from three. The Huskies average 36 rebounds, 13 assists, and 12 turnovers per game. The Huskies average 80 points per game and are a great shooting team. They shoot 50 percent from the field, 11th in the country, and 39 percent from beyond the arc. Bradley averages 15 points and 6.65 rebounds per game, while Thorpe averages 12.5 points per game.

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Northern Illinois Huskies vs. Akron Zips, 10/30/18 Predictions & Preview

I will trust that the over will hit here. However, two of those totals were set at 64 points. While these two are capable of hitting that, its hard for me to be comfortable expecting a college game to go below 40 points. NIU has still put up at least 24 points in every MAC game and Akron has given up at least 23 in three of its four conference games. Northern Illinois has won four straight in this series and the two have hit the under in three of their last four meetings. A lot can go wrong for a defense in a game. You can have special teams break big plays or make big mistakes. The total for this game is extremely low.

On the ground Illinois ran for 2,938 yards, which ranked 17th in college football. They ran 818 plays last year for 4,925 yards, which ranked them 118th in Division 1 in total offense. They ran 490 times, averaging 6 yards per rush as a unit. The Fighting Illini were 95th in the country in points scored with 312 last season. As a team they accumulated a total of 233 1st downs last season, ranking them 104th overall as an offensive unit. The Illinois Fighting Illini averaged 6 yards per play, which was 47th in the nation. The Fighting Illini were penalized on offense 76 times for 773 yards last year, which had them 68th in the country in penalties.

The Fighting Illini tried 25 field goals last year and made 20, which was 10th in college football. Their punters accumulated 2,734 yards on 65 punts, averaging 42 yards per punt. They totaled 91 punt return yards and averaged 4.8 yards per return, which was 114th in D-1. They returned 41 kicks for 666 yards on special teams, which put them 53rd in kick return yardage. The Illinois Fighting Illini averaged 16 yards per kick return and they were 81st in the nation in all-purpose yards with 5,682. Illinois was 64th in the country in punt returns with 19 last season. Their kickers had a field goal percentage of 80%. Illinois kickers made 100% of their extra points, going 36 for 36 last season. That ranked them 53rd in the NCAA in punting average.

The home team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings between these two teams and theZips are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Northern Illinois. Take Northern Illinois. Not on the road, they wont. The Huskies are 5-1 at home this year while the Zips are 0-3 on the road. the question will be, can the Zips do enough to slow down the high flying Northern Illinois offense which shoots 50 percent from the field and 39 percent from three? This is an interesting match up between one of the better offensive teams in the league in Northern Illinois against the tough defending Akron Zips.

Illinois Fighting Illini vs Akron Zips Betting Tip, Prediction & Preview

The Huskies are holding opponents to a mere 2.7 yards/carry, which is really a remarkable number when you factor in those teams they played outside of the MAC. They are holding teams to 1.4 yards/carry less than their season average. Akron is giving up 3.7 yards/carry, which is nice, but its come against teams that average a mere 3.6 yards/carry.

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Thats back-to-back wins for Akron after losing three straight. The Zips enter off a 17-10 win and cover as a 4-point home favorite against Central Michigan. It was the Zips first cover after failing to beat the number in each of their previous three. The Zips offense turned it over 4 times and didnt score a point in the 2nd half. Much like the Huskies, Akrons defense was the difference.