Detroit (D Norris) (@5.0) vs Houston (J Verlander) (@1.2)
21-08-2019

Our Prediction:

Houston (J Verlander) will win

Detroit (D Norris) – Houston (J Verlander) Match Prediction | 21-08-2019

Houston scored in each of the first six innings Tuesday night in an 11-4 victory at Detroit to improve to 28-15 overall and 12-11 on the road. Wade Miley picked up the win as he allowed four earned runs on seven hits over six innings, striking out five and walking two. Verlander enters tonight's start with a 6-1 record, 2.51 ERA and 0.82 WHIP with 68 strikeouts over 57 1/3 innings. Carlos Correa was 2-for-5 with a home run, a triple, two runs and three RBIs. George Springer helped pace the offense as he finished 2-for-3 with a home run, two walks and three runs. Aledmys Diaz went 2-for-3 with a home run, a walk and three RBIs.

Theyve been real bad is what Im trying to say here. The Tigers have really had difficulty on both sides of the ball with a good number of the losses coming in blowout games where they scored 3 or less runs. A big problem has been a lack of momentum as they have only managed to win back-to-back games once during that time. The Tigers have been in a tailspin for the second half of the season, going 9-27 since the All Star Break. Detroit has also seen three separate losing streaks of five games or more in the second half. The last week has really reflected that whole dynamic with the Tigers going 2-4 in the past two series, dropping 2 of 3 to both the Mariners and the Rays.

With that being said I do recommend you a bet on AH HOU (-2.5) to win! However, he had his problems as of late. The Astros should prevail comfortably over the Tigers on home soil. Norris, who has been OK in 22 starts this season. That does not sound good facing a team like the Astros on the road. I do expect a similar outcome today. Verlander, who is having another solid season. The home side won the opening game of the current series with 6-3 yesterday. For this one HOU gives the ball to J. Meanwhile DET tries to counter with lefty D.

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Like the offense, the pitching staff as a whole ranks near the bottom of the league in almost every category for the Tigers. Other than Farmer, no one has an ERA below 4.40. Their best stat is probably limiting walks as they sit firmly in the middle of the pack for that one. Honestly though, the bullpen for Detroit is pretty ugly.

Gurriel also continues to make up for a slow start in 2019 and has managed to bring his batting average all the way up to .304. He went 8-for-20 with four walks as well and only struck out once in the past two series. He also now leads the team in RBIs. Alex Bregman has also been breathing some rarefied air this week, slapping 3 doubles and 2 long balls of his own.

Houston counters with Wade Miley, who will look to bounce back from a shaky outing in Chicago which saw him surrender 7 runs, though only 3 were earned. Mileys last start against Detroit was not all that great as he gave up 4 earned runs, but at least went 6 innings. Hell need to recapture some of his cutter command in this one though, as that pitch was not quite working for him against the White Sox. Miley has yet to give up more than four earned runs in any of his starts this season.

But like most of his time with the Tigers, Zimmermann has been pretty terrible this season as you can tell by mark-of-the-beast ERA. Hes given up at least 5 runs in 6 of his 16 starts this season and has already spent two turns on the IL. This will be his first time facing the Astros in 2019. Zimmermann will make his second start since returning from the IL earlier this month. He was solid in his last outing against the Rays, spinning five innings with just 1 hit surrendered and no runs.

Tigers

They went 4-6 on the trip including a 5-game skid before salvaging the final game in Oakland. Houston will need to tighten up on defense, which was a little sloppy on the road, as well as relief pitching, which has taken an uncharacteristic downturn in recent games. Theyll have an excellent opportunity to bounce back against a rebuilding Tigers team that currently sits a half game south of the Orioles for worst record in baseball. They wont see another day off until a week from today. The Astros return to Houston after a 10-game road trip that started out pretty good before the wheels came flying off in Chicago. The team is also in the middle of a brutal stretch on the schedule where they not only had their longest road trip of the year but also had to play a doubleheader due to a rain delay.

"We'll see how he pitches," Hinch said. "We have a lot of guys throwing the ball well. We're going to get a little healthier, rosters expand in September, so I'd like to see him come in and be a troubleshooter like he's been when we've had him in the 'pen. I kind of like the competition down there.

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JaCoby Jones was 1-for-3 with an RBI. Ryan Carpenter took the loss as he gave up eight runs (seven earned) on nine hits with five strikeouts and three walks over four innings. Gordon Beckham ended the game 1-for-3 with a triple, a walk and a run. Ronny Rodriguez paced the Tigers offensively as he went 2-for-4 with a home run, a double and three RBIs. Detroit suffered an 11-4 home loss Tuesday night against Houston to fall to 18-22 overall and 9-10 at home. Gregory Soto will start tonight for Detroit as he gave up seven earned runs on nine hits with one strikeout and two walks back on May 11 at Minnesota.

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This kind of performance was more in line with what we had seen with Sanchez while he was with Toronto, but hopefully reuniting with Strom will get him back in a form similar to his first two Astros starts. Sanchez will make this start for Houston after a bit of a clunker in Oakland that saw him surrender 6 runs across 5.1 innings, including 2 home runs. Sanchez opened the season with a game against Detroit and twirled 6 innings of shutout baseball before hitting the showers in that one.

Baseball Methuselah Edwin Jackson will get the ball for Detroit to start the series and comes in after a couple of decent starts since he joined the Tigers on August 9th. He had started the year with Toronto where he posted an absolutely putrid 11.12 ERA in just 28.1 innings before being DFAd. In his two MLB starts starts since then he went 6.1 and then 5 innings, giving up just 3 runs across that time. Those games were against the bottom-feeding Royals and Mariners though, so the Astros will provide his first big test with his new team.

And Verlander is Verlander, plus the added motivation of facing his former team. I think this has to be the biggest moneyline gap I've ever seen for an MLB game. Take the Astros on the runline. My memory isn't always the greatest, but I can't remember seeing anything wider than this. Despite Carlos Correa heading to the injured list, the Astros have an array of power hitters who mash lefties. Even so, it's the only bet I'm considering here. Even the runline bet has big juice.