Novak Djokovic (@1.002) vs Roberto Carballes Baena (@21.0)
26-08-2019

Our Prediction:

Novak Djokovic will win
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Novak Djokovic – Roberto Carballes Baena Match Prediction | 26-08-2019 14:00

Those results have propelled Ymer to a career-high ranking of 122nd in the world and he will surely receive the fulsome backing of the Swedish crowd. The Swedish youngster had been in fine form on the Challenger tour in the build-up to the French Open. That form served as a catalyst to a great run at Roland Garros where he came through three gruelling qualifying matches to get into the main draw of a Grand Slam for the first time. He made the finals in Murcia and Bordeaux, either side of a quarterfinal showing in Francavilla. Expect that to give him the edge in this one.

Carballes Baena has a career high ranking of world #72 which he attained after a sensational run to the title in Quito last February. He has reached five quarterfinals on tour this year of which four were on clay. Munar will face fellow countryman Roberto Carballes Baena, also most at home on the clay. There is very little to separate these two, who are both capable baseliners. The 26-year-old has made two quarterfinals in 2019 and won a Challenger title in Lisbon before the French Open. However, Carballes Baenas experience and consistency should be the difference in this one.

He also made the last four at the NextGen ATP Finals in Milan at the back end of last year where he lost to Australias rising star Alex De Minaur. Jaume Munar, the younger of the two and a graduate of the Rafael Nadal Academy, is slightly less experienced. He broke into the top 100 last summer shortly after winning back-to-back Challenger titles and went on to reach the semifinals in Kitzbuhel. He has continued that good form this season. Two of Spains brightest young talents will go head to head in the opening round at the Swedish Open.

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Roberto Carballes Baena vs Albert Ramos-Vinolas H2H

First round matches for Djokovic are usually very predictable, as he often gets players who lack main tour success and grand slam experience. These are the type of opponents Djokovic usually rolls over in grand slam play, especially knowing he doesnt want to play any unnecessary sets if he hopes to win the title. While 26 years old, Carballes Baena falls into that boat, and hes not very good on hard court overall.

Carballes Baena has split his last six matches on hard court. As long as Carballes Baena does a better job of getting his first serve in play and limits the double faults that hurt him in his last match, hes got a chance to make this match a little more competitive than some believe. Carballes Baena has one career grand slam victory, which came in this years French Open. Roberto Carballes Baena is coming off a second round exit in Winston-Salem, and hes split his last eight matches overall. Carballes Baena has actually enjoyed some decent success on the main tour recently, as he won a pair of matches in Gstaad and Bastad, so that should help in terms of confidence, even if the competition was nowhere near what hes facing now.

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Djokovic has never lost in the first round of the US Open. Djokovic struggled with his return in his last match and couldnt find a rhythm, but maybe the rest will be a good thing for the top ranked player in the world. Djokovic will have over a week of rest in his favor and should be considered the favorite on the mens side to win this years US Open. We see often in grand slam play where guys have a lot of matches under their belt entering the tournament and they get burned out. Djokovic has won five of his last seven matches on hard court. Djokovic hasnt lost in the first round of a grand slam since the 2006 Australian Open. Novak Djokovic is coming off a semifinal loss in Cincinnati, but hes won 10 of his last 11 matches overall.

The two 20-year-olds will do battle in their first meeting on tour. Mikael Ymer, who stands in the Spaniards way, has had a 2019 to remember. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has been on a steady rise since capturing the Boys singles title at Wimbledon in 2017. He won his first tour-level match in Estoril a few months ago, going onto reach the semifinals in Portugal, beating the likes of Taylor Fritz, Jeremy Chardy and Gael Monfils along the way.