Portsmouth (@1.8) vs Burton (@4.33)
17-09-2019

Our Prediction:

Portsmouth will win

Portsmouth – Burton Match Prediction | 17-09-2019 14:45

Given the fact that the Brewers, whove scored an average of 3.2 goals in their last five, and Pompey, whove notched an average of 2.8 in their last five, have both excelled going forward of late, a relatively high-scoring game may just be a tad more likely than the current price suggests. In summary, its fair to say that both Burton and Portsmouth have been thriving in the final third of late, while both have shown a few defensive weaknesses. Keeping this in mind, Over 2.5 Goals stands out.

Burton have been excellent going forward in recent weeks, racking up no fewer than 15 goals in their last five League One outings, but they come up against a Portsmouth side who have terrorised defences all season long and have themselves smashed in 16 goals in their last six games. You can back both teams to find the net again in this clash at4/5 withWilliam Hill. Were backing some goals in this game though.

After something of a slump saw them start to lose ground in the chase after the turn of the year, Kenny Jacketts men are now back on the gas and in fine fettle, winning their last six consecutive games in all competitions including the Checkatrade Trophy Final against Sunderland at Wembley last month. After a 4-1 hammering of Rochdale last weekend theyll feel they have the confidence to pick up three more points here at 7/5 withBet365.

Fridays hosts are a team in form, though Portsmouth, who tore Rochdale to pieces last Saturday, will fancy themselves do well at Pirelli Stadium. Theyve also posted recent expected goals for figures such as 3.43, 2.18 and 1.99. Kenny Jacketts visitors have looked like a very dangerous side of late, as theyve won each of their last five, scoring an impressive 14 goals in the process.

Burton Albion vs Portsmouth Predictions

There are a few blemishes on the road, but overall performances have been pleasing at Fratton Park. By doing plenty in the offensive third and generally not giving too much away, Portsmouth have gone about their business at home with minimal fuss this season. The fact that theyve scored twelve and conceded just six suggests that theyve been far more productive in the final third than theyve allowed their opponents to be, as does the fact that they have an average expected goal difference of +0.97.

However, the way in which they allowed Plymouth to both create chances and score goals is alarming. If a struggling side such as Plymouth can breach Burton with relative ease, then a side of Portsmouths calibre ought to be capable of doing some real damage. From an attacking point of view, Burtons efforts were commendable at the weekend; they created opportunities and had the quality to make the most of them.

Although they come into this game on the back of a five game unbeaten streak, winning four of those games and the other producing a draw against title-chasing Sunderland, the Brewers may have left it slightly too late to make a late charge for the play-offs but they are at least looking to continue this good form and to finish the season on a high. You can back them for three points here at 19/10 withWilliam Hill.

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As things stand, the Hampshire outfit are level on points with the Black Cats in 4th and 3rd place respectively, although both sides have a game in hand on the Tykes who sit in second. In only their second season back at the third tier, Pompey have been battling for a top two spot alongside Luton Town, Barnsley, Sunderland and Charlton Athletic. Portsmouth are among the promotion chasers in the League One table at this time.

Cards & Corners

With players such as Jamal Lowe and Ronan Curtis, whove got 21 goals and assists between them in League One this season, Portsmouth are backed to take advantage of Burtons leaky back-line. With an average of 1.98 expected goals for per home game, against a visiting side that is averaging 2.05 against on their travels, Portsmouth Over 1.5 Goals is tough to resist at the prices.